November 5, 2009

CanaData Conference 2009

U.S. stimulus will help lift commodity prices: Scotiabank economist

Given that U.S. stimulus spending is just starting to have an effect on the prices of commodities and construction materials, Scotiabank’s vice-president of economics Patricia Mohr says the next 12 months will be critical.

“I think we’re only now beginning to see the impact of government infrastructure spending as part of the Obama administration’s fiscal stimulus,” Mohr said in an interview with Reed Construction Data during last month’s CanaData Construction Industry Forecasts Conference in Toronto.

“There has been a lift in municipal spending in the United States on water systems and power systems, but I think the overall level of spending remains quite low.

“Nevertheless, we would see the Obama administration fiscal stimulus really kicking in a little more in the second half of 2009 and definitely in 2010,” Mohr added. ”So it probably will gradually lift steel prices.”

In particular, Mohr noted, the increase in U.S. motor vehicle assembly – an industry that is steel- and copper-intensive – will also lift commodity prices.

Check out the executive summary from the 2009 CanaData Conference.

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